In the world of NFL contract analysis, a recent ranking by Brad Gagnon of Bleacher Report has sparked some intriguing discussions. Gagnon's take on T.J. Watt's contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers as one of the league's worst has certainly raised eyebrows and opened up a can of worms.
Let's dive into this controversial assessment and explore the implications it carries for the Steelers and the NFL landscape.
The Decline and the Deal
Gagnon's critique centers on T.J. Watt's declining sack numbers over the past few seasons. From a peak of 19 sacks in 2023, his production has dipped to 11.5 in 2024 and a mere 7 in 2025. This downward trend, coupled with the substantial financial commitment, has led to questions about the wisdom of the Steelers' decision.
The contract extension, worth a whopping $123 million over three years, guarantees Watt $108 million. While he remains a disruptive force, the drop in sacks is a cause for concern, especially considering his age. As Watt turns 32 during the 2026 season, the concern is whether he can maintain his elite level of play.
Financial Implications
The financial aspect of the deal is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it secures the services of a franchise cornerstone. On the other, it ties up a significant portion of the team's resources, potentially limiting flexibility in other areas. Gagnon's analysis highlights the potential long-term ramifications, suggesting that even if the Steelers part ways with Watt after the 2027 season, they will have paid a hefty price for just two seasons of work.
The Evolving Edge-Rushing Room
The Steelers' edge-rushing unit has undergone a transformation. The emergence of Nick Herbig, who signed a four-year, $100 million extension, and the continued productivity of veteran Alex Highsmith, have shifted the dynamic. With substantial investments in all three players, the Steelers now face a delicate balancing act in managing their defensive front.
A Changing Landscape
Despite the criticism, T.J. Watt's impact on the Steelers' defense cannot be understated. He is a franchise icon, holding the NFL's single-season sack record and being a consistent All-Pro performer. However, the NFL is a league that values youth and potential, and the Steelers must navigate the delicate balance between honoring their past and building for the future.
The Future of Pittsburgh's EDGE
For now, the Steelers seem committed to keeping Watt, but the rise of Herbig and the steady performance of Highsmith cannot be ignored. As time goes on, the conversation around Watt's future with the team will likely intensify. If his production continues to wane while the younger pass rushers thrive, the decision to part ways may become increasingly palatable.
Final Thoughts
Gagnon's ranking of Watt's contract as one of the league's worst is a bold statement, but it opens up a necessary dialogue. The NFL is a league of constant evolution, and teams must adapt to changing circumstances. The Steelers' decision to extend Watt was a bold move, and only time will tell if it pays off. As fans and analysts, we can only speculate and wait to see how this story unfolds.
